Market Updates (15)

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Are we heading into Altcoin season? Keep up with the top industry updates as we present bi-weekly market insights that are important to traders in the institutional space. In this week's edition, Kelvin Lam, CFA, Head of Institutional Research for OKX, looks at various market indicators and the overall market environment to assess the likelihood of an altcoin season on the horizon. Additionally, we explore key considerations that can guide participation in this potential altcoin rally.

Keep up with the top industry updates as we present bi-weekly market insights that are important to investors in the institutional space. In this week's edition, Kelvin Lam, CFA, Head of Institutional Research for OKX, shares his three predictions for the Institutional crypto market in 2024. Alongside unveiling these predictions, he'll also explain why these trends hold significant importance for institutions currently positioned in crypto space.

Keep up with the top industry updates as we present bi-weekly market insights that are important to traders in the institutional space. In this week's edition, Kelvin Lam, CFA, Head of Institutional Research for OKX, explores the profound market impact resulting from the recent launches of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US. He analyzes the dynamic interplay between supply and demand and the consequential changes in market structure. Additionally, he highlights potential trading opportunities that institutional traders can seize following this significant market event.

Keep up with the top industry updates as we present bi-weekly market insights that are valuable to traders in the institutional space. In this week's edition, Kelvin Lam, CFA, Head of Institutional Research for OKX, delved into one of the recent trending topics in the financial market: Bitcoin reached a new all-time high. He analyzes the major distinctions between the all-time highs observed in 2020 and 2024, aiming to analyze the implications these differences hold for the future trajectory of Bitcoin and market dynamics.

Foreword Over the past decade, Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable innovation and resilience, even during times of challenging market conditions. It has introduced groundbreaking elements to the modern monetary system, internet technology, and financial sectors, thereby establishing itself as a prominent asset in the global mainstream.

Known for its volatility and unpredictability, the crypto market can sometimes feel like a rollercoaster ride even for veteran crypto traders. Amid the ups and downs, there's one factor that often impacts said volatility and often flies under the radar: the U.S. Federal Reserve (also known as the 'Fed') and its interest rate decisions. As much as crypto enthusiasts will say crypto is detached from the realm of traditional finance (TradFi), what happens in these government meetings can technically have a sizable impact on the price of your favorite cryptocurrencies.

The U.S. economy continues to show resilience in growth, but a high interest rate environment continues to impact the economy, with many countries and regions experiencing economic stagnation or mild recession. Although inflation shows signs of cooling, according to the Federal Reserve’s plan, an uncertain macroeconomic environment has further exacerbated volatility in the cryptocurrency market.

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Understanding the cryptocurrency market The cryptocurrency market is incredibly dynamic and fast-paced. Whether you're trading or working in the industry, staying updated on market movements, token trends, and relevant news is crucial. This includes understanding regulatory updates, technological advancements (both onchain and offchain), and significant market events — past and future — that influence token prices.

The approval of spot ether ETFs in the US marks another significant milestone in the mainstream adoption of crypto. Long term, it could pave the way for other digital assets to follow suit. On a shorter horizon, it will allow US institutions and individuals to access ETH in new ways. In this article, we analyze the different points of impact approval has on the market.

Industry Insights Macro Environment: The Federal Reserve’s rate cuts have positively impacted the macro environment, benefiting major decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols. In September, the Fed implemented a significant 50-basis-point rate cut, lowering the federal funds rate to a range between 4.75% and 5%. Although this caused short-term fluctuations, Bitcoin's long-term outlook remains strong. With the global financial system increasingly dependent on monetary expansion, BTC, as a global asset independent of central bank policy, has grown in appeal, with net inflows into totaling $21.3 billion.

Cycles and narratives have always been central to the global crypto market. In the past, the industry often referenced Bitcoin halving events to perceive market cycles while exploring major narrative trends. However, with the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, the crypto market has become more closely coupled with global financial markets, leading to an increase in the variables that influence market trends.

Cycles and narratives have always been core topics in the global crypto market. Historically, the industry often referenced Bitcoin halving cycles to gauge trends and uncover major narratives. However, with the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, the crypto market has become highly coupled with global financial markets, and the variables affecting crypto market trends are increasing.

Summary Cycles and narratives have always been central topics in the global crypto market. Historically, the industry has often used Bitcoin halving events as reference points to perceive cycles and explore major narrative trends. However, with the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, the crypto market is becoming increasingly intertwined with the global financial market, introducing more variables that affect its trajectory.