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Poppy_luna
#TrumpTACOIran TACO Plays Out Again: Iran Deal Sends Markets Surging
Forty-eight hours ago Trump was threatening massive strikes on Iran. Today he declared the war over and both sides signed an MOU. TACO strikes again.
The deal has Iran committing to never acquire nuclear weapons (roughly 95% of the agreement) and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, including clearing mines. That second point matters: the Strait carries about 20% of global oil supply, and the risk premium baked into crude over the past month was enormous.
Markets repriced fast. Brent crude dropped below $100/bbl (-4.6%), Nasdaq popped 2.5%, semis ripped 8%, and Japanese and Korean equities added 6%. Gold recovered to $4,200. This is what de-escalation from a genuine macro risk looks like.
The wrinkle: Iran's foreign ministry came out after the signing and said no final agreement has been reached. An MOU is not a treaty. The gap between "war over" (Trump's framing) and "no final deal" (Tehran's framing) is exactly the kind of ambiguity markets hate once the initial euphoria fades.
If this holds, the crude risk premium unwinds further and risk assets keep the bid. If the foreign ministry statement is a signal of something messier, expect a sharp reversal.
How are you reading this: durable deal or TACO part 2?
Share your thoughts in the comments 👇
$SNDK $BTC $MU #OKXBeaufitulGame #SPCXNasdaqIPO
#TrumpTACOIran
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